Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.884425 1.034014 1.200979 1.401147 1.634637 1.898456 2.219288
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.657490 0.859282 1.110393 1.445860 1.882545 2.432194 3.177539
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.523193 0.740394 1.032498 1.454103 2.047623 2.854485 4.037106
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.429096 0.647717 0.960828 1.442017 2.163829 3.208299 4.838855
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.362332 0.578291 0.904860 1.434678 2.274230 3.556316 5.669869
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.315945 0.529996 0.869764 1.448334 2.411137 3.953864 6.623853
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.266757 0.468286 0.802647 1.397726 2.433240 4.166865 7.303417
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.251900 0.461166 0.822852 1.493388 2.709367 4.829284 8.825316
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.217907 0.414933 0.768746 1.450251 2.734809 5.060831 9.617033
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.188539 0.372571 0.715185 1.399347 2.736747 5.246557 10.344022
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.164699 0.337109 0.669255 1.355591 2.744400 5.440506 11.107662
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.151745 0.321176 0.658387 1.378262 2.883653 5.901898 12.457115
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.146996 0.321831 0.681432 1.474786 3.189877 6.742407 14.717150
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.137551 0.311302 0.680374 1.521301 3.399372 7.415582 16.727728
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.125951 0.294287 0.663108 1.529939 3.527426 7.932083 18.467845
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.114141 0.274993 0.638068 1.517222 3.604977 8.346404 20.032175
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.104089 0.258315 0.616594 1.509500 3.692455 8.793301 21.733701
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.096583 0.246663 0.605155 1.523868 3.834019 9.382929 23.859640
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.085875 0.225516 0.568221 1.470623 3.802673 9.556225 24.980815
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.084751 0.228657 0.591206 1.571269 4.171993 10.756976 28.881867
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.076162 0.210977 0.559432 1.525884 4.157716 10.992407 30.295183
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.068136 0.193665 0.526316 1.472328 4.114326 11.146973 31.513776
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.061309 0.178692 0.497429 1.426293 4.085077 11.335037 32.852022